Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Hanzal 56.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.0%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 55.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 56.9%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Staal
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Hanzal
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Staal
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Staal
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
57.1% (1,059)
+2.0%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
60.0% (175)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
45.2% (126)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Staal shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
Staal
Hanzal
Home
61.2% (600)
57.6% (682)
Away
56.9% (566)
55.2% (678)
By Period
Staal
Hanzal
P1
57.5%
57.8%
P2
60.1%
57.8%
P3
59.1%
53.7%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |