Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Hanzal 55.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 70.6%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 67.7%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 67.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Lehtera
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lehtera
Hanzal
Last 6: Lehtera 2-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Lehtera
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Lehtera
Hanzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
54.9% (754)
-6.0%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
61.4% (228)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
49.2% (65)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Lehtera shoots left. Hanzal is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Hanzal
Home
51.7% (520)
58.1% (539)
Away
48.1% (449)
53.7% (508)
By Period
Lehtera
Hanzal
P1
52.8%
56.5%
P2
54.0%
57.9%
P3
43.0%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |