Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Dowd 50.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 57.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Hanzal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hanzal
Dowd
Last 5: Hanzal 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Hanzal
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Hanzal
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (321)
51.6% (343)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
50.0% (2)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (80)
47.1% (51)
-0.8%
On power play, Hanzal has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hanzal is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Hanzal shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Dowd
Home
58.6% (220)
43.0% (172)
Away
51.4% (214)
57.1% (224)
By Period
Hanzal
Dowd
P1
58.3%
47.4%
P2
56.7%
60.6%
P3
50.4%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |