Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 72.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.3%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Hanzal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Hanzal
Dowd
Last 10: Hanzal 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
5
Hanzal
Dowd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
1
Hanzal
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Hanzal
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
52.4% (6,009)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
56.1% (164)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
44.1% (1,635)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Dowd
Home
55.1% (3,687)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Hanzal
Dowd
P1
54.9%
51.7%
P2
53.6%
50.4%
P3
52.4%
50.3%
OT
56.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |