Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 30-26 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 50.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 75.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 59.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Hanzal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
30
(56 meetings)
26
30
Hanzal
Bonino
Last 10: Hanzal 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Hanzal
Bonino
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
12
Hanzal
Bonino
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Hanzal
Bonino
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
54.1% (972)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
44.6% (1,693)
+1.4%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Hanzal shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Bonino
Home
55.1% (3,687)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Hanzal
Bonino
P1
54.9%
50.6%
P2
53.6%
48.5%
P3
52.4%
51.1%
OT
56.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |