Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 47.2% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 90.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 70.2%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 69.2%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Hanzal
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hanzal
Gaustad
Last 5: Hanzal 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hanzal
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Hanzal
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (502)
59.8% (353)
-12.4%
Power Play
42.9% (119)
66.7% (15)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
58.0% (81)
-1.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Hanzal is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Hanzal shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Gaustad
Home
44.8% (330)
62.1% (195)
Away
48.9% (307)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Hanzal
Gaustad
P1
47.8%
59.4%
P2
47.1%
58.1%
P3
46.0%
61.3%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |