Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 90.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 72.1%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 57.8%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Hanzal
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Hanzal
Gaustad
Last 10: Hanzal 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
4
2
Hanzal
Gaustad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
6
Hanzal
Gaustad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Hanzal
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
58.2% (4,334)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
65.4% (188)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
54.8% (1,290)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Hanzal shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Gaustad
Home
55.1% (3,687)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Hanzal
Gaustad
P1
54.9%
58.2%
P2
53.6%
56.4%
P3
52.4%
58.3%
OT
56.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |