Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.4%). Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Johansen 55.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.9%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 81.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 51.3%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Hanzal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Hanzal
Johansen
Last 10: Hanzal 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Hanzal
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
11
1
Hanzal
Johansen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hanzal
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (321)
55.9% (1,157)
+0.8%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
56.5% (237)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (80)
43.3% (67)
+3.0%
On power play, Hanzal has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hanzal is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Hanzal shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Johansen
Home
58.6% (220)
55.8% (733)
Away
51.4% (214)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Hanzal
Johansen
P1
58.3%
53.5%
P2
56.7%
55.9%
P3
50.4%
57.2%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | OT | 01:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | OT | 01:05 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |