Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.4%). Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 18 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 27-13 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 50.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hanzal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
13
(40 meetings)
27
13
Hanzal
Johansen
Last 10: Hanzal 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Hanzal
Johansen
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
17
1
Hanzal
Johansen
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Hanzal
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
56.2% (2,163)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
50.5% (978)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Johansen
Home
55.1% (3,687)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Hanzal
Johansen
P1
54.9%
53.2%
P2
53.6%
53.9%
P3
52.4%
52.8%
OT
56.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | OT | 01:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | OT | 01:05 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |