Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.3%). Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 55.6% vs Kesler 56.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 53.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 51.7%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 50.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Hanzal
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Hanzal
Kesler
Last 7: Hanzal 0-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Hanzal
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Hanzal
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Hanzal
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (504)
57.4% (1,185)
+0.1%
Power Play
58.8% (51)
58.0% (243)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
49.2% (236)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Hanzal is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Hanzal shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Kesler
Home
59.7% (288)
58.5% (793)
Away
53.7% (324)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Hanzal
Kesler
P1
57.1%
57.0%
P2
56.5%
55.4%
P3
55.2%
56.7%
OT
71.4%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2014 | OT | 02:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |