Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 36 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 76-58 in 134 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 69.9%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 58.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Hanzal
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
76
(134 meetings)
58
76
Hanzal
Kesler
Last 10: Hanzal 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
27
24
Hanzal
Kesler
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
12
24
Hanzal
Kesler
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
19
28
Hanzal
Kesler
47 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
56.4% (8,095)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
50.5% (1,908)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Kesler
Home
55.1% (3,687)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Hanzal
Kesler
P1
54.9%
56.5%
P2
53.6%
55.9%
P3
52.4%
56.1%
OT
56.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |