Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Nichol 58.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 70.8%
Defensive zone
Nichol 58.3%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 56.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Hanzal
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Hanzal
Nichol
Last 10: Hanzal 3-7 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
4
1
Hanzal
Nichol
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
3
8
Hanzal
Nichol
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
59.0% (948)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
42.9% (14)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
59.5% (185)
-13.5%
On power play, Hanzal has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Nichol
Home
55.1% (3,687)
59.7% (576)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Hanzal
Nichol
P1
54.9%
58.4%
P2
53.6%
57.3%
P3
52.4%
61.1%
OT
56.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |