Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 52.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Hanzal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Hanzal
Bozak
Last 10: Hanzal 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Hanzal
Bozak
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
5
3
Hanzal
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hanzal
Bozak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Bozak
Home
55.1% (3,687)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Hanzal
Bozak
P1
54.9%
53.2%
P2
53.6%
52.8%
P3
52.4%
54.5%
OT
56.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 15, 2011 | OT | 02:17 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 15, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |