Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Necas 46.0% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Necas leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Necas 76.6%
Defensive zone
Necas 69.1%
Neutral zone
Necas 83.0%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Tavares
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Tavares
Necas
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
2
Tavares
Necas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
2
Tavares
Necas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
2
3
Tavares
Necas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
44.5% (339)
+13.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
47.4% (57)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
47.6% (21)
+11.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Tavares
Necas
Home
61.0% (661)
44.8% (203)
Away
55.3% (584)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Tavares
Necas
P1
58.6%
46.8%
P2
57.8%
40.0%
P3
58.4%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
63.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |