Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Greig 48.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 78.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 71.6%
Neutral zone
Necas 59.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Necas
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Necas
Greig
Last 5: Necas 2-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Necas
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
2
1
Necas
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
48.5% (1,133)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
56.8% (74)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
46.5% (172)
+7.6%
On power play, Greig has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Necas
Greig
Home
39.2% (492)
49.8% (681)
Away
43.0% (477)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Necas
Greig
P1
39.9%
46.3%
P2
40.6%
51.2%
P3
43.3%
48.8%
OT
41.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |