Scouting Report
Martin Necas holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Greig 44.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 54.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 59.8%
Neutral zone
Necas 50.8%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Necas
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Necas
Greig
Last 5: Necas 2-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Necas
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
2
1
Necas
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
38.8% (103)
+5.7%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
60.0% (5)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
0.0% (1)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Necas shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Necas
Greig
Home
44.8% (203)
37.7% (53)
Away
45.3% (214)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Necas
Greig
P1
46.8%
41.7%
P2
40.0%
39.3%
P3
50.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |