Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.5%). Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Reasoner 54.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 58.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 73.6%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 59.8%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Carter
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Reasoner
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
2
Carter
Reasoner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
3
Carter
Reasoner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
1
Carter
Reasoner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
56.1% (923)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
56.1% (57)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
48.2% (278)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Carter
Reasoner
Home
55.0% (291)
56.9% (627)
Away
54.5% (314)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Carter
Reasoner
P1
57.2%
52.9%
P2
46.6%
53.8%
P3
58.0%
57.1%
OT
77.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |