Scouting Report
Mike Rupp holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Reasoner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rupp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 52.5% vs Rupp 51.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rupp 55.8%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 59.8%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 57.6%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Reasoner
Rupp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Reasoner
Rupp
Last 5: Reasoner 2-3 Rupp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Rupp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rupp
0
1
Reasoner
Rupp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Rupp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Rupp
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (475)
55.9% (34)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rupp shoots left. Reasoner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Reasoner shoots left. Rupp is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Rupp
Home
54.8% (263)
56.5% (23)
Away
51.5% (309)
54.5% (11)
By Period
Reasoner
Rupp
P1
55.7%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
60.0%
P3
54.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Mike Rupp |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Mike Rupp |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |