Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rupp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rupp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Rupp 51.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rupp 70.4%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 71.4%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 52.1%
Result
Mike Rupp favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Reasoner
Rupp
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Reasoner
Rupp
Last 9: Reasoner 4-5 Rupp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
3
1
Reasoner
Rupp
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rupp
0
3
Reasoner
Rupp
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Rupp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Rupp
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
52.4% (187)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
48.6% (35)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
33.3% (3)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rupp shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Reasoner shoots left. Rupp is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Rupp
Home
55.4% (1,032)
45.7% (127)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
59.6% (99)
By Period
Reasoner
Rupp
P1
53.1%
44.8%
P2
53.1%
59.8%
P3
55.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Mike Rupp |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Mike Rupp |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |