Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 55.1%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 68.4%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 65.6%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Reasoner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Reasoner
Bonino
Last 6: Reasoner 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
0
Reasoner
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
1
Reasoner
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
50.6% (8,315)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
54.1% (972)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
44.6% (1,693)
+0.9%
On even strength, Reasoner has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Reasoner shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Bonino
Home
55.4% (1,032)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Reasoner
Bonino
P1
53.1%
50.6%
P2
53.1%
48.5%
P3
55.3%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |