Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Reasoner wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Sturm 56.1% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 54.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 53.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Reasoner
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
57.1% (2,719)
-1.4%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
61.3% (62)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
51.0% (498)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Reasoner shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Sturm
Home
55.4% (1,032)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Reasoner
Sturm
P1
53.1%
56.5%
P2
53.1%
54.9%
P3
55.3%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%