Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 83.3%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 72.8%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 67.1%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Reasoner
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Reasoner
Gaustad
Last 9: Reasoner 2-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Reasoner
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Reasoner
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Reasoner
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
58.2% (4,334)
-2.5%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
65.4% (188)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
54.8% (1,290)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Reasoner shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Gaustad
Home
55.4% (1,032)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Reasoner
Gaustad
P1
53.1%
58.2%
P2
53.1%
56.4%
P3
55.3%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |