Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Sestito 46.0% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sestito 76.1%
Defensive zone
Sestito 69.4%
Neutral zone
Sestito 76.2%
Result
Tim Sestito favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Reasoner
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Reasoner
Sestito
Last 6: Reasoner 1-5 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
1
2
Reasoner
Sestito
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
3
Reasoner
Sestito
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
45.7% (457)
+10.0%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
55.6% (9)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
34.2% (38)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Reasoner shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Sestito
Home
55.4% (1,032)
48.0% (273)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Reasoner
Sestito
P1
53.1%
42.5%
P2
53.1%
42.1%
P3
55.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |