Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.6%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Reasoner wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 67.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 68.5%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 59.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Reasoner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Reasoner
Bozak
Last 10: Reasoner 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
8
Reasoner
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
3
2
Reasoner
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
Reasoner
Bozak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
54.2% (962)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
57.9% (266)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (278)
52.1% (188)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Reasoner shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Bozak
Home
56.9% (627)
58.6% (732)
Away
52.2% (657)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Reasoner
Bozak
P1
52.9%
54.1%
P2
53.8%
55.0%
P3
57.1%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |