Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.5%). Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Reasoner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 69.7%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 63.7%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 52.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Reasoner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Reasoner
Bozak
Last 10: Reasoner 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
7
9
Reasoner
Bozak
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
5
2
Reasoner
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
6
Reasoner
Bozak
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
53.7% (9,596)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Reasoner shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Bozak
Home
55.4% (1,032)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Reasoner
Bozak
P1
53.1%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
52.8%
P3
55.3%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |