Anthony Cirelli vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.9%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs McTavish 49.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 60.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 69.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Cirelli
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cirelli
McTavish
Last 9: Cirelli 6-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Cirelli
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
0
Cirelli
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
47.6% (616)
+2.8%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
57.8% (102)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
33.3% (6)
+3.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Cirelli
McTavish
Home
54.2% (395)
52.2% (389)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Cirelli
McTavish
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
47.9%
P3
46.6%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |