Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs McTavish 49.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 55.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 50.3%
Neutral zone
Point 52.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Point
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
McTavish
Last 5: Point 1-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
3
Point
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
47.6% (616)
-1.4%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
57.8% (102)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
33.3% (6)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Point
McTavish
Home
46.9% (243)
52.2% (389)
Away
46.4% (302)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Point
McTavish
P1
46.2%
50.0%
P2
45.9%
47.9%
P3
48.9%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |