Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs McTavish 51.5% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 71.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 56.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 75.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Bedard
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bedard
McTavish
Last 5: Bedard 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Bedard
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
51.3% (725)
-12.4%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
55.8% (113)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
-3.6%
On even strength, McTavish has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Bedard
McTavish
Home
40.2% (246)
52.0% (454)
Away
37.8% (286)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Bedard
McTavish
P1
39.9%
51.3%
P2
38.5%
50.4%
P3
39.0%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |