Kasperi Kapanen vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kapanen wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 45.9% vs McTavish 50.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 58.4%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 54.5%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 59.3%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Kapanen
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kapanen
McTavish
Last 8: Kapanen 3-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
1
Kapanen
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Kapanen
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kapanen
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (82)
51.1% (769)
-10.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.6% (178)
+49.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
28.6% (14)
+16.9%
On power play, Kapanen has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kapanen is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Kapanen shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Kapanen
McTavish
Home
35.1% (37)
52.3% (461)
Away
45.6% (57)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Kapanen
McTavish
P1
37.0%
51.5%
P2
43.3%
54.0%
P3
43.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |