Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs McTavish 51.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 51.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 65.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Couture
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Couture
McTavish
Last 7: Couture 4-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Couture
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
1
Couture
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
51.3% (725)
-6.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
55.8% (113)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
28.6% (7)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Couture shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Couture
McTavish
Home
45.2% (62)
52.0% (454)
Away
52.9% (34)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Couture
McTavish
P1
55.2%
51.3%
P2
44.4%
50.4%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | OT | 02:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |