Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs McTavish 51.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 67.5%
Defensive zone
McTavish 69.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 72.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Rossi
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rossi
McTavish
Last 7: Rossi 5-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
51.3% (725)
-6.8%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
55.8% (113)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Rossi
McTavish
Home
46.8% (385)
52.0% (454)
Away
42.6% (364)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Rossi
McTavish
P1
42.8%
51.3%
P2
43.9%
50.4%
P3
47.4%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |