Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Marner 43.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 61.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 68.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
McTavish
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McTavish
Marner
Last 7: McTavish 4-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Marner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
2
McTavish
Marner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Marner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
42.2% (462)
+6.0%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
55.6% (18)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
35.4% (65)
-1.1%
On even strength, McTavish has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
McTavish
Marner
Home
49.8% (1,678)
38.2% (293)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
46.0% (252)
By Period
McTavish
Marner
P1
50.0%
39.1%
P2
47.8%
41.1%
P3
48.4%
47.1%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |