Mason McTavish vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Dubois 49.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 50.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 81.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 69.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
McTavish
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McTavish
Dubois
Last 8: McTavish 2-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
McTavish
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
McTavish
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
48.7% (809)
-6.3%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
50.9% (163)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
McTavish
Dubois
Home
41.9% (372)
50.5% (497)
Away
42.8% (353)
47.3% (491)
By Period
McTavish
Dubois
P1
47.2%
49.0%
P2
36.2%
48.2%
P3
43.6%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |