Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Abols 51.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 69.1%
Defensive zone
Abols 65.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 60.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
McTavish
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McTavish
Abols
Last 5: McTavish 2-3 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Abols
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Abols
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
McTavish
Abols
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
52.2% (293)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
50.0% (4)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (6)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
McTavish
Abols
Home
52.2% (389)
54.7% (150)
Away
45.1% (335)
49.7% (153)
By Period
McTavish
Abols
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
47.9%
46.3%
P3
49.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |