Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.0% vs Couturier 53.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 72.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
McTavish
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McTavish
Couturier
Last 5: McTavish 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
McTavish
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (532)
52.6% (624)
-3.9%
Power Play
59.1% (88)
66.7% (66)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.2% (188)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McTavish is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (403).
McTavish shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
McTavish
Couturier
Home
54.8% (303)
50.7% (424)
Away
45.5% (323)
56.6% (454)
By Period
McTavish
Couturier
P1
51.5%
55.5%
P2
49.5%
51.7%
P3
49.3%
55.2%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.0%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |