Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 76.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 71.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
McTavish
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McTavish
Couturier
Last 5: McTavish 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
McTavish
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
53.4% (758)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
62.9% (70)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.7% (227)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
McTavish
Couturier
Home
52.2% (389)
50.7% (517)
Away
45.1% (335)
56.1% (538)
By Period
McTavish
Couturier
P1
50.0%
55.2%
P2
47.9%
53.0%
P3
49.0%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |