Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Boyd 44.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 81.5%
Defensive zone
McTavish 58.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 81.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
McTavish
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McTavish
Boyd
Last 10: McTavish 6-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
2
McTavish
Boyd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
44.4% (2,186)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
46.5% (256)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
35.6% (208)
-1.3%
On power play, McTavish has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
McTavish
Boyd
Home
49.8% (1,678)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
McTavish
Boyd
P1
50.0%
41.7%
P2
47.8%
46.2%
P3
48.4%
44.0%
OT
43.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |