Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Barzal 44.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 79.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Coyle
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Barzal
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
43.3% (314)
+5.0%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
45.5% (33)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
33.3% (3)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Barzal is 37.7% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Coyle
Barzal
Home
52.5% (238)
39.9% (168)
Away
44.6% (269)
46.7% (182)
By Period
Coyle
Barzal
P1
49.7%
39.0%
P2
49.5%
49.1%
P3
46.3%
43.3%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
30.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |