Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.4% vs Barzal 41.4% (+21.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 95.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 94.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 95.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Miller
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
0
(10 meetings)
10
0
Miller
Barzal
Last 10: Miller 10-0 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller
Barzal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (526)
40.4% (463)
+21.0%
Power Play
65.3% (118)
34.2% (38)
+31.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
28.6% (7)
+18.2%
On power play, Miller has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Miller shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Miller
Barzal
Home
61.8% (351)
38.1% (244)
Away
59.7% (355)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Miller
Barzal
P1
58.5%
46.6%
P2
64.0%
35.7%
P3
59.6%
37.7%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |