Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 37.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 44.9% vs McLeod 51.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 91.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 63.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Barzal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Barzal
McLeod
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Barzal
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
5
Barzal
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (314)
53.9% (534)
-10.6%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
59.1% (22)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
32.5% (77)
+0.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Barzal is 37.7% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Barzal shoots right. McLeod is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Barzal
McLeod
Home
39.9% (168)
50.5% (275)
Away
46.7% (182)
52.2% (358)
By Period
Barzal
McLeod
P1
39.0%
50.5%
P2
49.1%
56.1%
P3
43.3%
47.7%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
30.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |