Mathew Barzal vs Michael McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs McLeod 58.0% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 95.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 81.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 91.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Barzal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Barzal
McLeod
Last 10: Barzal 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Barzal
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
8
Barzal
McLeod
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
59.2% (2,894)
-17.3%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
57.4% (101)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
53.5% (525)
-11.2%
On even strength, McLeod has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Barzal shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
Home / Away
Barzal
McLeod
Home
43.1% (1,895)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Barzal
McLeod
P1
40.7%
58.7%
P2
44.4%
59.9%
P3
41.0%
56.3%
OT
27.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
39.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |