Mathew Barzal vs Nicklas Backstrom
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 44.9% vs Backstrom 48.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 53.9%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 72.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 77.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Barzal
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Barzal
Backstrom
Last 9: Barzal 6-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
2
Barzal
Backstrom
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (314)
48.7% (635)
-5.4%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
42.0% (50)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (46)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Barzal shoots right. Backstrom is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Barzal
Backstrom
Home
39.9% (168)
48.0% (348)
Away
46.7% (182)
48.6% (383)
By Period
Barzal
Backstrom
P1
39.0%
49.6%
P2
49.1%
48.2%
P3
43.3%
47.3%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
30.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |