Mathew Barzal vs Nicklas Backstrom

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nicklas Backstrom holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 46.3% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone Barzal 55.4%
Defensive zone Barzal 53.9%
Neutral zone Backstrom 53.4%
Result Mathew Barzal favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Barzal Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
53.2% (77)
-10.2%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +10.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Barzal
Backstrom
Home
35.8% (53)
54.5% (55)
Away
49.2% (61)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Barzal
Backstrom
P1
44.2%
50.0%
P2
38.5%
52.9%
P3
46.9%
55.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
55.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
43.0%
Backstrom
50.0%
48.5%
52.4%