Mathew Barzal vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Dubois 49.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 69.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 75.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 75.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Barzal
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Barzal
Dubois
Last 9: Barzal 2-7 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
5
Barzal
Dubois
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
46.2% (225)
-5.8%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
66.7% (27)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
75.0% (8)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Dubois is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dubois
Home
38.1% (244)
46.6% (163)
Away
41.3% (264)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Barzal
Dubois
P1
46.6%
45.0%
P2
35.7%
52.3%
P3
37.7%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |