Mathew Barzal vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Dubois 46.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 67.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 67.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 62.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Barzal
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Barzal
Dubois
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Barzal
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
5
Barzal
Dubois
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
4
5
Barzal
Dubois
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
46.2% (7,002)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
51.3% (606)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
48.1% (108)
-5.8%
On power play, Dubois has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Barzal shoots right. Dubois is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,643).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dubois
Home
43.1% (1,895)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Barzal
Dubois
P1
40.7%
47.6%
P2
44.4%
45.6%
P3
41.0%
46.8%
OT
27.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
39.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |