Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Suter 49.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 56.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 71.5%
Neutral zone
Suter 65.8%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Barzal
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barzal
Suter
Last 8: Barzal 5-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
1
Barzal
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Barzal
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
49.8% (840)
-3.2%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
57.4% (68)
-16.5%
On power play, Suter has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Suter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Barzal
Suter
Home
49.6% (242)
49.8% (502)
Away
43.3% (263)
48.8% (502)
By Period
Barzal
Suter
P1
42.4%
46.7%
P2
49.5%
51.7%
P3
47.7%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
40.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |