Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Laughton 55.6% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 70.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 87.1%
Neutral zone
Laughton 56.1%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 87.1%
12.9%
87.1%
Barzal
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (456)
54.0% (324)
-13.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
100.0% (3)
-65.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
64.2% (109)
-35.6%
On power play, Laughton has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Barzal shoots right. Laughton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Barzal
Laughton
Home
38.0% (242)
55.2% (210)
Away
41.3% (259)
58.4% (226)
By Period
Barzal
Laughton
P1
46.6%
53.5%
P2
35.4%
61.7%
P3
38.0%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Laughton
50.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |