Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Laughton 56.0% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 73.3%
Defensive zone
Laughton 89.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 59.9%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 89.5%
10.5%
89.5%
Barzal
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
55.2% (455)
-14.8%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
75.0% (4)
-40.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
62.8% (137)
-34.2%
On power play, Laughton has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Laughton is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Barzal
Laughton
Home
38.1% (244)
57.4% (263)
Away
41.3% (264)
56.8% (333)
By Period
Barzal
Laughton
P1
46.6%
55.3%
P2
35.7%
61.4%
P3
37.7%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |