Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Couturier 52.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 73.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 91.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 91.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 86.1%
13.9%
86.1%
Barzal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Barzal
Couturier
Last 10: Barzal 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
2
Barzal
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
53.5% (770)
-11.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
59.4% (69)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
46.9% (162)
+53.1%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Barzal shoots right. Couturier is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Barzal
Couturier
Home
44.3% (436)
53.8% (452)
Away
40.7% (398)
52.1% (549)
By Period
Barzal
Couturier
P1
39.7%
53.4%
P2
44.3%
52.8%
P3
44.2%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |