Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 68.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 60.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 67.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Barzal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barzal
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Barzal
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
53.8% (1,003)
-10.8%
On even strength, Couturier has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Barzal
Couturier
Home
35.8% (53)
54.4% (680)
Away
49.2% (61)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Barzal
Couturier
P1
44.2%
56.3%
P2
38.5%
51.8%
P3
46.9%
52.2%
Final 5 min
38.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |